CONTRACTUAL RELATIONS ON RUBBER MARKETS: LESSONS FOR BUSINESS AND ECONOMIC POLICY
https://doi.org/10.38050/01300105202211
Abstract
The choice of manufacturing organization form and contracting method on the industrial markets requires evaluation of market volatility, including identification of the risks from the side of adjacent markets. The study aims at determining the ways synthetic rubber market participants adjust to imbalances in supply and demand. The analysis of consumer properties of synthetic and natural rubbers in the context of their industrial consumption allows us to argue that these types of rubber turn out to be both complements and substitutes at the same time. What is more, some of them may belong to the same market within the product boundaries (in terms of antitrust legislation). We use foreign trade customs statistics and historical production and consumption data to identify the sources of market imbalances such as: the gap between synthetic rubber production cost and the price of natural rubber; economic bubbles caused by the fluctuations in supply and the price of natural rubber; volatility in the demand for rubber from its main consumers — tire factories. We then turn to the possible risk mitigation mechanisms that may help market participants to cope with the imbalances: formula pricing, vertical integration and horizontal differentiation. The implementation of these mechanisms in practice is illustrated through cases of Russian companies: PJSC Nizhnekamskneftekhim, PJSC TATNEFT and SIBUR. We conclude with the recommendations on tools for synthetic rubber production development.
Keywords
About the Authors
A. E. ShastitkoRussian Federation
Moscow
A. I. Meleshkina
Russian Federation
Moscow
O. A. Markova
Russian Federation
Moscow
References
1. Battalov, R. M. (2017). Formula price setting as an identifying element of a cluster intiative at the synthetic rubber market. Innovacii i investicii, 10, 153–155.
2. Garmonov, I. V. (1976). Synthetic rubber. L.: Himij a.
3. Lakhno, Y. V. (2013). Development of the russian market of synthetic rubber. Problemy prognozirovanija, 5, 50–61.
4. Pichugin, A. M. (2008). Material science aspects of creating tire rubbers. M.: Mashinostroenie.
5. Smirnova, S. M. (2017). Possibilities of increasing the competitiveness of Russian enterprises in the markets of EU synthetic rubber. Innovacii i investicii, 7, 131–133.
6. Shastitko, A. E. (2010). New institutional economics. M.: TEIS.
7. Shastitko, A. E., Meleshkina, A. I., & Dozmarov, K. V. (2019). Error risks under antitrust law enforcement: Effects of demand and supply shocks. Upravlenets — The Manager, 10, 3, 2–13. http://dx.doi.org/10.29141/2218-5003-2019-10-3-1.
8. Shugaepova, A. A. (2014). Modelling of international trade flows on the example of the synthetic rubber market. Regional economics: theory and practice, 29, 56–64.
9. Arunwarakorn, S., Suthiwartnarueput, K., Pornchaiwiseskul, P. (2019). Forecasting equilibrium quantity and price on the world natural rubber market. Kasetsart Journal of Social Sciences, 40, 8–16. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.kjss.2017.07.013.
10. Carree, M., Thurik, A. (2000). The life cycle of the US tire industry. Southern Economic Journal, 2, 254–278. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/1061470.
11. Clermont-Dauphin, C., Suvannang, N., Hammecker, C., Cheylan, V., Pongwichian, P., & Do, F. (2013). Unexpected absence of control of rubber tree growth by soil water shortage in dry subhumid climate. Agronomy for Sustainable Development, 3, 531–538. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s13593-012-0129-2.
12. Cournot, A. (1927). Researches into the Mathematical Principles of the Theory of Wealth. New York: Macmillan.
13. Dixit, A., & Stiglitz, J. (1977). Monopolistic competition and optimum product diversity. The American Economic Review, 3, 297–308.
14. Fong, Y., Khin, A., & Lim, C. (2018). Conceptual Review and the Production, Consumption and Price Models of the Natural Rubber Industry in Selected ASEAN Countries and World Market. Asian Journal of Economic Modelling, 4, 403–418.
15. Ita, P., & Gross, A. (1995). Industry corner: World rubber and tire. Business Economics, 1, 58–63.
16. Khin, A., Chong, E., Mohamed, Z., & Shamsudin, M. (2008). Price forecasting of natural rubber in the world market. International Joint Conference on e-Commerce, e-Administration, e-Society, and e-Education, 1–16.
17. Khin, A., Shamsudin, M., Abidin, Z., Chiew, E., Arshad, F., & Mohamed, Z. (2011). Estimation methodology of short-term natural rubber price forecasting models. Journal of Environmental Science and Engineering, 4, 460–474.
18. Lancaster, K. (1966). A new approach to consumer theory. Journal of Political Economy, 2, 132–157. http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/259131.
19. Lancaster, K. (1979). Variety, equity, and efficiency: product variety in an industrial society. New York: Columbia University Press. http://dx.doi.org/10.7312/lanc94538.
20. Macaulay, S. (1963). Non-contractual relations in business: A preliminary study. American Sociological Review, 1, 55–67.
21. Marshall, A. (1961). Principles of economics: An introductory volume. London: Macmillan.
22. McChesney, F., Shughart, W., Haddock, D. (2004). On the internal contradictions of the law of one price. Economic Inquiry, 4, 706–716.
23. Mitchell, A. (2008). Ireland, South America and the Forgotten History of Rubber. History Ireland, 4, 41–45.
24. Njavallil, C., Thoomkuzhy, J., & John, M. (2016). An empirical study on the relationship between crude oil price and natural rubber price. Splint International Journal Of Professionals, 3, 112–115.
25. Phillips, C. (1961). Market Performance in the Synthetic Rubber Industry. The Journal of Industrial Economics, 2, 132–150. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/2097544.
26. Roberts, E. (1952). The Rubber Industry. The Analysts Journal, 2, 77–81.
27. Romprasert, S. (2011). Market efficiency and forecasting of rubber futures. Journal of Research in International Business Management, 7, 215–224.
28. Spence, M. (1976). Product selection, fixed costs, and monopolistic competition. The Review of Economic Studies, 2, 217–235. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/2297319.
29. Stigler, G., & Sherwin, R. (1985). The extent of the market. The Journal of Law & Economics, 3, 555–585.
30. Su, C.-W., Liu, L., Tao, R., & Lobont O. R. (2019). Do natural rubber price bubbles occur? Agricultural Economics, 2, 67–73.
31. Viswanathan, P. (2008). Global market integration and China’s rubber industry: challenges and the way Forward. Asian Journal of Social Science, 5, 792–826. http://dx.doi.org/10.1163/156853108X364235.
32. Williamson, O. (1985). The Economic Institutions of Capitalism: Firms, Markets, Relational Contracting. New York: Free Press.
33. Xin, F. (2009). The influence of international finance crisis on the natural rubber market. International Economics and Trade Research, 4, 59–64.
Supplementary files
Review
For citations:
Shastitko A.E., Meleshkina A.I., Markova O.A. CONTRACTUAL RELATIONS ON RUBBER MARKETS: LESSONS FOR BUSINESS AND ECONOMIC POLICY. Moscow University Economics Bulletin. 2022;(1):3-26. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.38050/01300105202211