Стратегии и институты: фактор, определяющий успех или неудачу развития
https://doi.org/10.55959/MSU0130-0105-6-60-4-4
Аннотация
Погоня за динамичным и инклюзивным экономическим развитием является общей целью для стран всего мира. Лауреаты Нобелевской премии по экономике 2024 г. — Аджемоглу, Джонсон и Робинсон — выдвинули гипотезу, что институты являются эндогенными и представляют собой фундаментальный фактор успеха или неудачи развития. Однако авторы полагают, что их гипотеза не согласуется с кросс-секционными и историческими данными. В данной статье на основе подхода новой структурной экономики утверждается: стратегия развития, соответствующая сравнительным преимуществам, является ключом к динамичному росту экономики и справедливому распределению доходов. Институты, включая такие аспекты, как коррупция, открытость и риск экспроприации, сами по себе являются эндогенными в зависимости от выбранной стратегии развития. Данное положение подтверждается кроссстрановой эмпирической доказательной базой. Наконец, в статье отмечается, что для правительства развивающейся страны принятие стратегии развития, опирающейся на сравнительные преимущества, более целесообразно в качестве руководства экономическим развитием, чем внедрение «инклюзивных институтов», предложенных Аджемоглу, Джонсоном и Робинсоном, поскольку экзогенно навязанные институты вряд ли будут эффективными.
Об авторах
Дж. И. Линь
Пекинский университет
Китай
Китай
Линь Джастин Ифу — декан Института новой структурной экономики
Пекин
Ц. Чжан
Пекинский университет
Китай
Китай
Чжан Цзытун — постдокторант, Институт новой структурной экономики
Пекин
Ю. Лю
Пекинский университет
Китай
Китай
Лю Юйсюань — аспирант, Институт новой структурной экономики
Пекин
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Рецензия
Для цитирования:
Линь Д.И., Чжан Ц., Лю Ю. Стратегии и институты: фактор, определяющий успех или неудачу развития. Вестник Московского университета. Серия 6. Экономика. 2025;(4):45-85. https://doi.org/10.55959/MSU0130-0105-6-60-4-4
For citation:
Lin J.Y., Zhang Z., Liu Y. Institution vs. strategy: the determinant of development success or failure. Moscow University Economics Bulletin. 2025;(4):45-85. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.55959/MSU0130-0105-6-60-4-4
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